NFL Picks 11/27

Teaser of the Day: Seattle +8/Philly & Dallas Over 47.5:

This is really hard coming from a resident 49ers fan, but based on the recent evidence, it’s impossible to pick the 9ers.  San Francisco’s offensive woes are a huge issue.  They refuse to run the ball consistently, have gone away from Kaepernick’s bread and butter read option, and they don’t throw to one of the most athletic tight ends in football.  Combine that with the fact that their linebackers stop the run, but can’t defend in pass coverage and they’ve got issues.  Replacing Navorro Bowman and Patrick Willis is impossible to do, despite solid play from Chris Borland.  The value lies in the Seahawks bumped up at +8.

There’s not enough defense in Dallas or Philly to take an under.  Both teams play fast and furiously.  Dez Bryant is a matchup nightmare for Philly, and the ground game can easily establish itself against Philly.  Hell, if the Packers could run against Philly, Dallas certainly can.  Chip Kelly never let’s off the gas pedal.  Even if they fall behind by 30, they’ll still keep playing fast.  Philly loses 34 – 31.

San Francisco vs. Seattle Under 41:

San Francisco’s defense is coming of age right now.  The return of Aldon Smith and emergence of Aaron Lynch, has really brought their pass rush together.  Seattle has the more prolific offense, right now, but expect the 9ers to be able to limit Marshawn Lynch for 3 quarters.  San Francisco has proven they are one of the most inefficient offenses in the NFL.  Nobody kicks more field goals than the 9ers, and don’t expect the legion of boom to give up many touchdowns.  Lock city on this under.  Seattle pulls off the road upset 19 – 12.

Philly @ Dallas Over 54.5

A prime time game, in Dallas, on Thanksgiving, expect both teams to come out amped.  Neither team is great defensively, other than forcing turnovers.  Very often in the NFL, turnovers mean points on the board quickly.  Final score Dallas 34 – 31.  The over hits in the Jerry Jones Dome.

 

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