NCAAF 12/23

Northern Illinois +10 @ Marshall/Under 68:

Don’t get us wrong, Marshall is absolutely no joke.  The Thundering Herd can drop points like it’s nobody’s business, and Rakeem Cato can light up the skies with his big arm.  That being said, Marshall plays in a powder puff conference where the only team with a defense may have been Louisiana Tech.  We get two teams that have had 3 – 4 weeks off, there’s going to be a little lag in getting back into bowl swing.  Marshall showed some chinks in the armor their last two weeks of the season.  A bowl game against Northern Illinois is going to be a bit of a letdown, after being close to playing a power 4 conference champ.  We’re going with the team that’s got the great run game (Cameron Stingily is a tank). The Hurd have given up over 200 yards, on the ground, their last two games.  Throw in the fact, that we get the team with the deeper, more proven, defense and NIU is the play here.  The under may be the even safer play, as NIU knows they don’t want to get into a shootout here.  The Huskies offense is already up and down, without question they’ll be trying to establish their run game.  Take the under as the lock.

Navy +3 @ San Diego State/Over 53.5:

This will be a tight game, and there’s a couple scary aspects to it.  One, it’s basically a home game for the Aztecs.  Secondly, SDSU already bashed an option team like Navy this year in Air Force.  We can definitely see why Vegas is favoring them right now.  Daniel Pomphrey will be tough for Navy to stop in that he put up almost 1,800 yards rushing and 19 TD’s this year.  Luckily, Navy has had 3 weeks to prepare for him and the Midshipmen are not just one dimensional in their run game anymore.  We expect a close, fast paced game, with big plays.  Remember, SDSU’s QB has 10 picks on the season.  There will be a couple turnovers in this one.  We feel the over is the best play, but take Navy to pull this out close, as well.  Navy 31 – SDSU 27.

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