Air Force +1 vs. Western Michigan:
The Falcons have proven themselves all season in a fairly tough Mountain West Conference. A win over a solid Colorado State squad capped a strong 9 – 3 season. This Air Force team beat the likes of Navy, Boise State, and CSU this season. They’ve also covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 games. This game is being played in Boise, where Air Force is very familiar. The travel and lack of experience against Air Force’s option will be an issue. We’re riding the Falcons in this one 41 – 38.
Utah State -10 vs. UTEP:
Defense wins big games and Utah State has one of the best in the country. Coming off a bad conference title loss to Boise, the Aggies will be ready for a hard fought bowl win. Utah State has proven it all year with wins over Air Force, BYU, and a tough 3 point loss to a very good Colorado State squad. UTEP had a mediocre season in a very mediocre Conference USA. We just can’t back a team that got blasted 31 – 13 by Rice! Utah State wins 35 – 10.
Nevada -1 vs. UL Lafayette:
Same song and dance, just new bowl game. How can you back a UL Lafayett squad that beat the likes of South Alabama, Texas State, and UL Monroe? Common opponent in this one, Boise State. The Broncos blasted Lafayette by 25 points! The Broncos beat the Wolfpack in a shootout 51 – 46. Enough said, too much talent from the Mountain West. Too much of a tested squad in Nevada. Wolfpack 37 – Cajuns 17. This is the absolute lock of the bowl season.
Utah -3 vs. Colorado State:
The Rams have proven themselves a tall task on the season and this one will be close. Utah’s 3 wins over top 25 Pac 12 opponents says alot though. Utah has the more imposing defense and pass rush. One thing we know is the Utes can run the ball (1,300 + yards on the ground), and Colorado State gave up over 100 yards rushing against every single opponent it faced this season. This one will be close. Our only worry is CSU may be the more motivated team and take a crazy win, but Utah has won 10 of their last 11 bowl games. We’ll take the Utes, barely, 31 – 26.
South Alabama -3 vs. Bowling Green/Over 53:
The one thing the last few weeks of the season proved is South Alabama can score the rock. The 40 points they hung on Navy was no joke. Bowling Green averaged close to 30 points, per game, on the season. Despite their poor finish on the season, we think Bowling Green scores enough to push this over. That being said, Bowling Green’s awful defense, and 3 game losing streak leave us uninspired. South Alabama blasts Bowling Green 42 – 24.