NCAAF 11/28

Houston -22 @ SMU:

Not much has changed with the culture of the Houston Cougars.  They play as fast and furiously as ever.  They’ve got no love loss for the SMU Mustangs by any means.  SMU is on the verge of a winless season and the last thing they want to see is a high flying, run and gun, team come to town.  Houston blasts SMU 51 – 13.

Iowa (0) vs. Nebraska:

Nobody rallies from losses better than Kirk Ferentz.  It’s a case of two teams going in opposite directions here.  The Huskers have no confidence on defense, being absolutely gashed by the ground game the past two weeks.  Iowa, on the other hand, found their groove against Wisconsin and nearly pulled off the upset last week.  This is absolute, hardcore, lock of the century this weekend.  Take the Hawkeyes big.  The team with the better defense win.  Iowa 31 – Nebraska 17.

Virginia (0) vs. Virginia Tech:

It’s a battle of two teams trying to qualify for a bowl game, but it’s soooo much more than that!  Virginia has been the whipping post for Va Tech the past 20 + years.  The Cavs have even more reason to come ready to play, for just such an incentive.  Virginia has a deeper pass rush, and more opportunistic defense.  The separating factor is that, of the two bad offenses, Va Tech has not been able to protect the ball lately.  Expect two Tim Harris forced turnovers for the Cavs.  A tight game early, falls apart late.  Cavs win 28 – 14.

Tulsa +18 vs. East Carolina:

The last thing East Carolina wants to do is go play a road game in Tulsa, against a team with 2 wins!  This game just wreaks letdown.  Add in the fact that the Pirates have stopped playing consistent football, lately, and we’ll take Tulsa to cover the 18.  Tulsa loses, but they hang around in a 41 – 24 loss.

UCLA -5.5 vs. Stanford:

UCLA is probably the hottest team in the country, outside of Alabama.  UCLA’s got a deeper, more athletic, offense.  Their defense has been extremely opportunistic.  Stanford won’t be able to utilize any size advantage against the Bruins.  It’s a case of speed vs. power and there’s too much speed on the side of the Bruins.  Bruins win easily, 38 – 21.

Colorado State -7 vs. Air Force:

The Rams are the class of the Mountain West.  They lead the conference in almost every statistical category.  Air Force is simply facing a more athletic team, all the way around.  Colorado State has even more incentive in trying to finish 12 – 1 this season.  Air Force turns the ball over more than usual and can’t stop the CSU passing attack.  Colorado State wins 35 – 17.

UCF -12 vs. South Florida:

There’s never a love loss when two Florida schools meet.  UCF brings an elite defense to the field.  South Florida brings hardly any talent to the field.  At the end of the day, it’s impossible to take South Florida over ANYBODY.  UCF wins in a big way 35 – 6.

Navy -9.5 vs. South Alabama:

Navy is one of the most efficient offenses in the country.  The midshipmen average over 354 yards, per game, on the ground, and close to 34 points, per game.  South Alabama has been somewhat competitive, but they haven’t faced an offense this efficient yet.  Both teams play hard, fighting for a bowl bid, but we like the Midshipmen to cover going into the big match up with Army.  Navy covers, close, 41 – 28.

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