NCAAB 12/10

Kansas +2.5 @ Georgetown:

The wrong team is getting points in this match up.  Home court, or no home court Kansas has played a tougher schedule and gotten better, because of it.  The loss of Jamari Traylor will hurt, but Kansas has a decided advantage on the wings.  Perry Ellis and Cliff Alexander should have a “hay day” in this one.  We’ve never loved Josh Smith’s production at UCLA and it’s not much better at Georgetown.  The Hoyas control the pace in this one, but the better team finds a way to win 66 – 56 Kansas.

Rhode Island +3.5 @ Providence:

An absolutely perfect time to go with the Rams.  Providence is faltering after a 3 game losing streak, including a recent loss to Brown!  Rhode Island has more to prove and more to play for.  We love what Dan Hurley brings to this Rhode Island squad.  Rhode Island will find their way into this year’s NCAA tournament and this is the first stepping stone on their way to an improved season.  Rams win a nail biter 82 – 79.

Fresno State +9.5 @ Texas Tech:
The worry here is how terrible Fresno has been on the road, but for every minute of bad road play we’ve seen from Fresno Texas Tech has been even less impressive at home.  Something has to give in this one.  Texas Tech has 1 and 2 point wins, at home, over Air Force and Auburn.  We just feel 9.5 is too many points given to a Fresno team that could hang within 7 of a high flying Cal team.  A Cal squad, mind you, that beat Syracuse this season.  Bulldogs cover on the 66 – 58 Red Raiders.

Penn State vs. Duquesne Under 152.5:
D.J. Newbill will, most likely, have a three point fest on the Duques.  That being said, there’s not enough talent on either side to warrant picking the over here.  Penn State has always put a premium on defense and neither side shoots well enough.  This line is completely off.  Play it as the game of the night under.  Penn State 74 – Duquesne 64.

Utah @ BYU Over 146.5:

Both teams play fast and BYU can flat out shoot at home.  Utah has put up 90 plus points in 2 of their past 3 contests.  BYU has put up 90 plus points in their past 3 contests.  BYU is also number one in the country in points scored, averaging 94 points per game!  Don’t expect the pace to slow down for this rivalry.  There’s athletes all over the floor, both teams shoot at a high efficiency rate, and there will be fouls down the stretch, as each team wants this game badly.  Final score BYU pulls off the big win 89 – 85 at home.

Colorado -5.5 vs. Colorado State:
It’s the perfect scenario for Colorado to show up and play well.  Coming off a tough loss to a solid Georgia team, the Buffs not only get a home game, but it’s against their biggest rival.  The Buffs loaded up their schedule whereas Colorado State has played virtually no one.  Both teams are coached well and Larry Eustachy knows how to put a good squad on the floor, but the length of Colorado is the difference here.  Buffs play more enthused and their improved defense wins this one.  Buffs 72 – Rams 63.

Cal -3 vs. Wyoming:
This is an extreme trapdoor game.  Larry Nance Jr. and Wyoming are much better than many anticipated.  Their large victory over Colorado was no fluke.  There’s a couple reasons we like the Bears.  One reason is it’s a contrast of styles, fast pace versus slow and defensive.  Cal is at home.  They’re going to shoot better and have the home court crowd advantage.  Cal has already seen a longer, more athletic defense, in Syracuse (at MSG we might add), and Cal handled the Orange Men easily.  While Wyoming will provide a formidable test, Cal pulls away 71 – 56 at home.

UCLA -17 vs. UC Riverside:

UCLA presses the pace too fast for a very poor UC Riverside team.  Steve Alford teams are fantastic front runners and there’s no reason to believe they won’t be here.  UCLA beat the best team in Riverside’s conference (Long Beach State) by 14, and blasted Fullerton by 30.  Riverside falls somewhere in between those two.  We’ll take the Bruins to win this sucker by about 24.  Bruins 88 – 64.

Gonzaga -22 vs. Washington State:
This seems absolutely absurd with a school as big as Washington State, but the Zags are on another planet than the Cougs.  Gonzaga is one of the deepest teams in America and they play fantastic team defense.  Washington State is a one trick pony in Davonte Lacy.  The Zags are ten deep in scorers and we feel it’s too much to overcome on the road.  Remember, TCU, who is nothing special, blasted the Cougs by 30, as did UC Santa Barbara.  A 15 point lead at half, explodes in the second half for 90 – 55 win.

UNI -2.5 @ Denver:
The travel aspect of this game is getting too much love.  Denver hasn’t proven that they can beat anyone decent, home or away.  UNI is not a team to be messed with.  Ben Jacobson’s squad has depth at guard and wing play.  Too much disciplined, consistent play for the Panthers.  UNI will be an NCAA tourney team this year, and it shows on the road more than ever.  Panthers 73 – Pioneers 64.

 

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