NBA 12/9

Toronto @ Cleveland Over 205.5/Cleveland -6:

So you’re thinking this is dangerous because both teams just played each other Friday and they both come off games last night.  Wrong!  Toronto and Cleveland hate each other.  This is fast turning into a, talented, heated, rivalry.  Both teams come off a low scoring output Friday and learn from mistakes in that contest.  This line hasn’t moved much, based on Friday’s game and we like that.  We think Vegas is scared the over might happen and they don’t want to push the line down too far.  We love that and the fact that Cleveland is scorching hot.  Toronto has to travel a long ways after playing a drag out battle the night before.  No Demar Derozan spells bad luck.  Cleveland wins 114 – 102.

Portland @ Detroit Over 197.5:

Portland can shoot the lights and they’ve proven that all season.  Detroit has the ability to score, when motivated.  Granted, Detroit is about as inconsistent as the day is long.  Their losing streak clearly show that.  That being said, we believe crappy teams show up to play when great teams come to town.  Detroit plays their tails off, but can’t pull out the win against a superiorly talented Portland squad.  Final score Portland 105 – Detroit 98.  This game goes over.

Memphis vs. Dallas Under 205:
Lock of the night.  No one controls pace better than Memphis in the grind house.  Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol will absolutely limit any easy scoring for Dallas.  Memphis’ offensive inconsistency is always an issue.  Their guards go cold at any moment.  Don’t expect Montae Ellis to be near the scorer with Tony Allen on him either.  Too many factors for Dallas to dominate the pace in this one.  Dallas may very well win, but we don’t think so.  Final score Memphis 103 – Dallas 98.

OKC vs. Milwaukee Under 201/Milwaukee +10:

A couple things lend toward the under here.  Milwaukee has issues putting up points as is.  OKC is finally healthy, so don’t expect easy buckets against Ibaka and Durant.  Milwaukee has been one of the best defensive teams in the league, so they should be able to hang with OKC for a half, at least.  Too much OKC in this one, but it doesn’t quite go over because of Milwaukee’s youth and inefficiency on offense.  Final score OKC 103 – Milwaukee 94.

Phoenix -4.5 vs. Miami/Under 203:
There’s no doubt Phoenix will get theirs on Miami.  The Suns can flat out stroke it and that’s why we like them -4.5.  Traveling home after a close loss to LAC shouldn’t be a hard transition.  The reason we like the under is there’s absolutely nothing to like about Miami.  Outside of Chris Bosh, what do they have to be remotely competitive?  Dwyane Wade is a shadow of his former “scoring” self.  Phoenix pulls away big and the under sneaks in here.  Final score Phoenix 107 – Miami 93.

Kings +3.5 @ Lakers:

On what planet could you pick the Lakers right now?  They try to play fast, but can’t do it efficiently.  Their defense is atrocious.  Their best player is 40 years old.  Demarcus Cousins, or no Demarcus Cousins there’s a sheer talent disparity here.  Darren Collison and Rudy Gay will have their way with the Lakers entire team.  The Kings believe they can win and are playing with a confidence we haven’t seen from them in years’ past.  Kings win easily 117 – 108.

Spurs @ Jazz Over 194:

A bit of a trap door game here being that Utah blew a pathetic performance against Sacramento last night.  That being said Utah is an extremely tough place to get up to play.  The Spurs are supremely talented, so calling the line on this one is suicide.  Despite playing last night, we love the Jazz to come ready to play.  Gordon Heyward leads the way with some easy buckets coming from Derek Favors, as well.  Spurs win, but 194 is too low.  Final score Spurs 105 – Jazz 100.  Ride the over in this one.

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