NBA 12/22

Charlotte -2 vs. Denver:
Fantastic time to jump back on the Charlotte bandwagon.  Denver is nothing away from their home arena.  Add on to that they just lost Danillo Galinari again.  They’re still short Randy Foye, Javale McGee, and probably Darrell Arthur.  The Hornets are starting to find their groove after winning a couple, recently.  Kemba Walker is shooting over 50% his past two outings, and Al Jefferson has returned to the A. Jeff of old.  Two teams headed opposite ways, and one plays poorly on the road.  Charlotte wins 101 – 94.

Utah +8.5 @ Memphis/Under 195:

Huge value pick here.  Granted, Utah has lost 5 straight at Memphis, but they can lose……we just need it close.  A few great signs here.  The Jazz have size to match Memphis’ (Favors and Kanter).  The Jazz have a wing scorer to take pressure off their bigs (Gordon Heyward).  Memphis is coming off a back to back night, where they just got drubbed by Cleveland.  Their could definitely be sluggish legs after that.  The best part is we have no Zach Randolph on the floor.  Take away, arguably, Memphis’ best player and that has to hurt some.  Memphis is more talented, but Jazz keep it close in a 97 – 91 Grizzlies win.

Portland @ Houston Over 198.5:

We lean toward Portland in this one, but can’t pick them because of the injury to Robin Lopez and uncertainty on Nic Batum.  That being said, there’s value in the over.  Both teams play fast and shoot the lights out.  Dwight Howard can’t guard L.A. when he pulls him off the block, and vice versa, so easy big man points.  Houston picks up some wing depth in Alexey Shved and Corey Brewer.  If Portland shows up we’re looking at a 103 – 100, type game.  If Houston shows up, and Brewer brings a refreshed bench, we’re looking at blowout city, 118 – 90, type game.  Either way, we think this line is set too low.  Lock in this over, it’s a solid play.

Toronto @ Chicago Over 201:

This line keeps going up, and for good reason.  This will be a hotly contested matchup, between two very talented teams.  The Bulls average well over 100 points, per contest, and the Raptors are right around the same area.  Both teams are trying to establish Eastern Conference supremacy, which makes it really tough to pick the spread.  The spread was set perfectly in this one, because this will be a close game and a late 3 could push the line either way.  That’s why the over is fantastic.  We’ll get high quality inside looks and stellar 3 point shooting from Butler, Dunleavy, Lowry, Ross, etc.  We’ve got the Bulls 104 – 101.

Hawks @ Mavs Over 209:

This line is so tough, because Jeff Teague is a gametime call.  The speed and outside shooting lends itself toward the over though.  Both teams want to run and gun, and nobody has been able to stop the Mavs at home.  The Hawks getting points has been stellar all season, that being said, Dallas is phenomenal at home.  If we knew Teague was ready to go we’d rock the +5, but we’ll play it safe and go over.  Dallas 114 – Hawks 107.

Spurs +1 vs. Clippers:

Very tough game to call here, but San Antonio rested all their stars for a reason, and they still almost got Dallas the other night.  This will be a battle, but San Antonio needs this game more, after some really tough losses recently.  Sometimes urgency is the name of the game in sports, and there’s some urgency for the Spurs right now.  Clippers won’t back down, but we’ll take the Spurs in this dog fight 102 – 96.

Warriors -11.5 vs. Kings/Over 210:
The over/under might be the weaker play here, because who knows what the Kings will bring to the table.  We’ve burned betting against the Warriors on these big spreads, all season, but not anymore.  Golden State just hammers teams this year, especially at home.  Demarcus Cousins needs alot more help than he’s getting to change that.  Warriors win, running away, and we’ll take this game to slide over in the process.  Golden State 121 – Kings 91.

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