NBA 12/19

Utah +4 @ Orlando/Under 192.5:

Expect a tight back and forth battle between two of the bottom feeders in the NBA.  That’s the perfect scenario to take the points, especially considering Utah is the more talented team.  They’ve got the most talented players on the floor in Burks and Hayward.  They matchup perfectly inside with Favors and Kanter against Vucevic.  The advantage to Orlando goes with how far Victor Oladipo can go with his point to assist ratio, which has been off the charts the past few weeks.  Either way, we’re getting the more talented team getting points.  We love the under, as well as both teams are in the bottom 10 in the NBA in points scored, while the Magic are one of the best in the league defensively.  Orlando wins 97 – 94.

Charlotte -4 vs. Philly:

Philly’s had 4 days off, that’s about all you can really say about Philly right now.  The sixers might be able to hang around if they receive a barrage from Tony Wroten and MCC, other than that they’re severely outmanned talent-wise.  Al Jefferson should have 28 – 12 easily in this one, and Kemba Walker should be able to assert his dominance.  It’s hard loving either of these teams, but how do you bet on a team that’s 2 – 22 right now?

Boston vs. Minnesota Over 211:
Love these big overs in these NBA games.  Rule of thumb is when that over/under is high Vegas is baiting you to take to the under, when the clear play is the over.  We’ve got a Celtics team toward the top of the NBA in scoring.  Rajon Rondo, while their distributor, wasn’t part of that scoring onslaught.  We should see easy buckets and strong play out of Jeff Green, Avery Bradley, Evan Turner, and Jared Sullinger.  Minnesota is still horrible, but the fast play of the Celtics should get them some easy buckets in transition.  The C’s rank toward the bottom of the NBA in total team defense and why would that change all of a sudden? Boston 120 – Minnesota 100.

Detroit +8.5 vs. Toronto:

Every statistical reason, on paper will tell you to take the Raptors.  Toronto has one of the better scoring defenses in the NBA, and they also average one of the higher PPG totals.  That being said, we love Detroit’s inside presence in Drummond and Greg Monroe against a Raptors squad that’s no better inside.  The question is will Brandon Jennings and company show up to give Kyle Lowry and Terrence Ross a push.  At the end of the day, 8.5 is too many points for a home team that has rim protectors like Detroit.  Remember, these scum bags don’t have to win, they just have to cover!  Toronto 98 – Detroit 93.

Washington -6 vs. Miami/Over 189:
Miami’s a whopping 2 – 7 at home this season.  Washington is a top 4 team in the west with scorers in Bradley Beal, John Wall, Marcin Gortat, etc.  We’ve got no Chris Bosh on the floor, and Miami’s guards (other than D-Wade) haven’t been able to throw it in the ocean lately.  To top it off, the Wiz bashed Miami by 20 + points the last time they played.  On what earth is their value in Miami?  Maybe Miami covers through a great D-Wade night, but there’s value in the Wiz and that’s where we’re riding.  Final score Wiz 102 – Miami 93.

Chicago +6.5 @ Memphis/under 191:

Memphis is playing its 3rd game in 4 nights, after two emotional wins over Golden State and San Antonio.  Everybody is making a big deal about Chicago playing last night when they clearly went through the motions against a bad Knicks team, looking ahead to Memphis.  Fatigue sets in after that last triple overtime win.  Too many points are being given to a deep Bulls team that can match up with Z Bo and Marc inside.  Remember Noah is back to help Pau now.  Bulls hang around in a tight game and steal it in the grindhouse.  Bulls 93 – Grizz 90.

Blazers +4.5 @ San Antonio:

Everyone’s riding the Blazers and so are we.  A triple overtime loss is never good, especially when you’re as old as the Spurs.  Too much firepower on the wings for Portland, and without Tony Parker whose going to stop Lillard.  There’s a high chance we don’t see any of San Antonio’s big 3 in this one.  Blazers win 101 – 87 against a beat up Spurs squad.

Clippers vs. Nuggets Over 214.5:

We get two teams that love to push the pace and have scorers all over the map.  The Nuggets are averaging 8 three’s, per game.  Both teams get tons of transition dunks through the Manimal, Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan.  Either team could pull away with a big spurt, making the spread hard to pick here.  The sheer pace and scoring ability of both teams lends this game toward the over though.  Clippers 109 – Nuggets 107.

Teaser of the Night: OKC -2/Bulls +11.5:
Despite playing last night and not having KD tonight, OKC is a different team with Westbrook, Ibaka, and Jackson on the floor.  Too much high flying athleticism for a bad Lakers squad.  OKC is hungry, they know they lost a tough one last night, which they would have won if KD were on the floor.  The team that has something to play for wins this one outright.  See above on Bulls pick.  We love a Bulls/Tom Thibedeau team getting 11.5 points, all day, everyday.  If you don’t like OKC give the Blazer +9.5, but definitely include the Bulls in your teaser.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *