NBA 12/18

Knicks +11 @ Bulls:

There’s alot on paper to like the Bulls, especially with Joakim Noah back, but paper doesn’t tell everything.  The Knicks have been fantastic at covering, not at winning, this season.  Carmelo Anthony always gives the Bulls fits and they still have no one to guard him.  If we’re going on talent, the Bulls should own this one and they probably will.  But they won’t own it enough to cover.  A late 15 point lead slips back and the Knicks backdoor cover 97 – 90.

Milwaukee +7.5 @ Sacramento/Under 203.5:

Too much is being made of a close back to back night in Portland.  This Bucks team has showed resolve and the Kings are reeling right now.  Sacramento actually showed up against OKC two nights ago and still couldn’t cover.  We gotta think there’s a bit of a letdown when Milwaukee comes to town.  Not to mention, Larry Sanders and Giannis still provide more force inside.  Sacramento’s speed could be a problem, but we like the Bucks to cover.  We’ll take the under either way, as both teams are pretty much all or nothing on the offensive end.  We’ll go with nothing tonight in a 99 – 95 Bucks win.

OKC +3 @ Golden State:

These two teams play amazing matchups.  You will not want to miss a single minute of this game.  Expect up and down scoring and ridiculous athleticism on both sides.  OKC will jump out early, but Golden State will have a 5 – 8 point lead by Q3.  Like the last couple of meetings, we really feel this will come down to the last possession or two.  The value is in the team getting points.  Thunder hold a 1 point lead late, and a Splash Brothers’ 3 at the buzzer is the difference.  Golden State 104 – OKC 103.  Thunder cover.

Pelicans +5 @ Houston:

The one thing the Pelicans can do is score points.  Anthony Davis and Dwight Howard should neutralize each other.  At that point it’s just who shoots better from the wings, and outside of James Harden New Orleans is just as athletic to get their own on the perimeter.  A little too much travel and a back to back, coming from the mile high, have to play some role in this.  We think Houston wins, but they fail to cover.  105 – 101 Rockets.

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