NBA 12/17

Dallas @ Detroit: Under 205:

Dallas is coming in on back to back nights of play.  Detroit’s defense has been somewhat respectable all season.  That being said, Detroit’s offense has been terrible.  Well over half of their games have been scored below 100 points.  Timing is everything in life and hoops and the timing is perfect here for an under.

Miami -4 vs. Utah:
Both teams are on back to back games here and clearly Utah has the advantage on the inside.  But guard play wins games and the Jazz are terrible at guard and wing, compared to the Heat.  Miami comes home, after a big upset win in Brooklyn.  We feel like that win propels them over Utah, as Utah comes out tired and deflated from their loss at New Orleans.  Heat 98 – Jazz 89.

Spurs -3 vs. Grizz:

The Spurs absolutely own the Grizz head to head.  Style of play is a huge thing in the NBA and Memphis does not match up with San Antonio whatsoever.  Not only that, but we get them coming off a huge emotional win against Golden State, AND we get them on back to back nights of play.  Rest has always been big for San Antonio.  Fantastic timing to take the Spurs and run with it.  Spurs walk away 101 – 85.

Suns -3 @ Charlotte:

Goran Dragic, or no Goran Dragic the Hornets simply cannot score.  The worst part for Charlotte is Al Jefferson is in a funk.  The big man is averaging 12.7 ppg, over the past two weeks, when they have to have him average 25ppg to be competitive.  Too much speed, too much shooting, and too much quickness for Charlotte.  Suns win 101 – 93.

Atlanta +6.5 @ Cleveland/Over 200.5:

The lock of the night is the Hawks getting 6.5.  Ladies and gentlemen we are finally believers in this new brand of hawks.  Not only are there 4 legit scorers on this team, but they play a pace and brand of basketball that is how basketball should be played.  It’s finally refreshing, coming from some of the turds Atlanta used to put on the floor.  Mike Buddenholzer has truly put his “Spurs” brand of basketball on this team.  The Cavs are obviously great, but these two teams are close in talent.  Atlanta has a clear advantage inside with Milsap and Horford.  Cleveland has no sniper like Kyle Korver.  Obviously, LBJ and Kyrie dominate for the Cavs, as well.  Atlanta has a chance to be in the conference finals this year, and they may even win this one.  We’ll take the Hawks 103 – 99.

Boston -4 vs. Orlando:

On paper, they may look even, but it’s fantastic timing for Boston.  The C’s have better guard and wing play in Rondo, Jeff Green, and Evan Turner.  Orlando is coming off a pitiful performance at Toronto, but the turnaround is too soon to be that competitive.  Not to mention, Boston is still lighting up the nets offensively.  This game is tight for 3 quarters, until Boston pulls away for a 15 point win.  Boston 110 – Orlando 95.

Toronto -12.5 vs. Brooklyn/Under 197:
Brooklyn is old and uninspired.  Brooklyn is just plain awful.  How can you lose, at home, to a Miami team that’s down Bird Man and Bosh?  Miami also has a one legged D-Wade, and an over the hill Luol Deng.  Brooklyn has no heart, no character, and completely no “give a shit” left on their season.  Coming off a back to back, that spells disaster.  Toronto, despite losing Demar Derozan is still playing hard and inspired basketball.  The real problem becomes no inside buckets for Brooklyn in this one.  Raptors walk away with 109 – 82 victory.

Denver +2.5 vs. Houston:
Neither team will stop much in this one, but Denver is a different team at home.  If Dwight Howard were here we might push the Rockets.  James Harden won’t shoot as well on the road, and Ty Lawson is a dominant freak in the mile high.  Nuggs pull out a close one 103 – 97.

Teaser of the Night: Portland -5/Atlanta +11.5:
See above on Atlanta.  Portland is fantastic at home.  Lillard, Matthews, Batum, and Aldridge shoot at an incredible clip pretty much anywhere, but especially at the Rose Garden.  Milwaukee just lost Jabari, but that’s not the biggest factor.  The Bucks just haven’t been playing well lately.  They also win on defense and they simply don’t have the defensive athleticism to hold down one of the most potent offenses in the NBA, on their home floor.  Portland’s fantastic, period.  They’re even more fantastic, at home.  Milwaukee can’t defend, or score enough, to hang around.  Portland most likely covers the 9 points, but why not play it safe, especially when the Hawks have been scoring at the clip that they are.

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