NCAAB 12/5

Oklahoma -13 vs. Mizzou:

Oklahoma is coming off a tough loss to a solid Wisconsin team.  Oklahoma’s season has been all over the map, but nothing cures those woes more than coming home.  If you’ve followed the Big 12 recently, you’ll notice how much better the likes of Iowa State, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Baylor, and Texas play at home.  Over the past 5 years these teams have been almost identical, as far as consistent play.  Oklahoma will look like world beaters at home against anyone, other than Kansas in the Big 12.  Mizzou is extremely young and inexperienced.  Their best player is a freshman guard.  They barely beat Southeast Missouri State at home!  It’s bad timing to be headed to a top 25 level place, like Norman Oklahoma, to play.  Oklahoma wins 87 – 63.

Kansas -7 vs. Florida:

The Jayhawks have one of the deepest teams in the country, which is a testament to how truly great Kentucky is this year!  Don’t be fooled, Florida has talent.  Michael Frazier, Dorian Finney-Smith, and Jon Horford provide some seasoned scoring, but none of that has showed up this year.  Florida’s biggest problem is they have no leadership at guard this season.  Though they still defend well, a lack of consistent scoring, and lack of confidence catches up to the gators.  Kansas has a stellar top 5 in Perry Ellis, Cliff Alexander, Wayne Seldon, etc.  The difference in this is playing at Allen Fieldhouse.  Gators hang within 8 in the first half, but Kansas pulls away for a 75 – 60 win late.

Texas @ Kentucky Over 121.5/Kentucky -13:
Losing your starting point guard, and best player before playing the best team in College Basketball, over the past 10 years, is not an ideal scenario.  Now throw in the fact that you have to go to Rupp Arena and try to pull out a win.  Kentucky will asert itself early and often.  Texas will have issues scoring against the length of Kentucky, but this game will get out of hand from the start.  Kentucky will EASILY cover the 13, and we think Texas can score over 50 points, to get over the 121.5.  Kentucky sticks it to the Longhorns 82 – 53.

NCAAB 12/4

Arkansas @ ISU Over 160:

This is the perfect storm for an over.  Both teams run up and down with little semblance of defense.  Iowa State is a markedly better shooting team at home, whereas Arkansas has struggled in the past on the road.  But, this is a deeper, more athletic, Arkansas team, than we’ve seen in years past.  Enough second half fouls will push this over.  Expect a 40 – 35 game, at half, to end around 87 – 80 Iowa State.

 

NCAAB 11/27

Kansas vs. Rhode Island/Over 128:

Rhode Island is a sneaky team, coming off a huge win over a highly touted Nebraska Cornhuskers squad this season.  Kansas won’t be overlooking the Rams at all, and we feel Rhode Island has enough quality players to hang around in this one.  Kansas has too many scorers in Selden, Ellis, Cliff Alexander, and Frank Mason III.  This one will be close until the last 5 minutes where free throws separate it late.  Kansas wins 72 – 63, the over is the safe play in this one.

Georgia Tech -4.5 vs. Marquette:

We’re probably picking against the value in this one considering Georgia Tech has had issues blowing teams away.  We can’t get over the lack of athleticism and size we’ve seen from Marquette though.  The Golden Eagles lost by 8 to Nebraska Omaha!  They barely squeaked by the New Jersey Institute of Technology!  Too much Marcus Georges Hunt in this one.  Georgia Tech 65 – Marquette 55.

UCLA vs. North Carolina -2/ Over 154:

Both teams never let off the gas pedal in this one.  UNC has too much size inside with Kennedy Meeks and Bryce Johnson.  Marcus Paige is not only the general on the floor of this game, but he’s the best player on the floor.  UNC -2 is the lock play.  The over 154 is a solid play, as well due, to the speed of this game and the fact that UCLA is terrible in transition defense.

Butler +5 vs. Oklahoma:

Bettors everywhere will make the huge mistake of following Oklahoma in this one due to athleticism.  UNC was CLEARLY the more athletic team and got burned by Butler already.  We’ve got a team getting no respect, that’s going to play hungrier.  Butler also brings a more disciplined brand of defense and rebounding.  Oklahoma should win on athleticism alone, but their lack of team defense and discipline leaves huge value in Butler here.  Take Butler +5.  Butler has a great chance to win.  Getting 5 points is a gift.

Long Beach State Over 143.5 vs. Western Michigan:

The Beach has as good of guard play as anyone in the country.  A close loss to BYU and a nice win over Kansas State prove this.  Western Michigan is no slouch either.  One thing we know about the Broncos is they can score points.  This game will come down to the wire, so free throws late should be huge.  Long Beach is scoring 74 + points per game, and Western Michigan is dropping almost 83 points per game.  The Over is the safe play in this one.

Indiana State +13.5 vs. Illinois:

Indiana State is middle of the road this season and Illinois does have a great scorer in Rayvonte Rice.  This is a gut pick, but Illinois hasn’t played, nor been challenged, by anyone this season.  At the end of the day, we feel Indiana State comes out to prove something, while Illinois shows up flat.  Illini win, but not by enough to cover.  Illinois wins 71 – 59.  Sycamores cover the +13.5.

NCAAB 11/26

Florida +1 vs. Georgetown:

Billy Donovan’s team has more athletic depth and talent.  We actually love that they’ve struggled lately.  The fact they have struggled a bit leads us to believe the Gators will come extremely prepared for the tournament.  Expect Michael Frazier to show up in a big way and for the Gator defense to dominate the boards and blocks.  Gators win 69 – 55.

Arizona -5 vs. San Diego State:

Sports betting history tends to repeat itself and the Wildcats have owned the Aztecs the past couple years.  The athleticism of Tarczewski and Brandon Ashley inside is simply too much of a limitation for San Diego State’s scoring.  Arizona wins by 1o + points.  Wildcats take the final score 75 – 62 in a mismatch of athleticism.