NBA 12/15

Teaser of the Night: Cleveland -5/Boston Even

Cleveland is one of the highest scoring teams in the league.  As of late, besides when LBJ was out, they seemed to have found their groove.  They’re playing a Charlotte team that simply struggles to score.  The Hornets are shooting a whopping 29% from 3 point range over the last 2 weeks, whereas the Cavs are one of the highest in the league at 44%.  No Dion Waiters might hurt a bit, but too much Lebron and Kevin Love in this one.  Cavs win 100 – 91.

It’s somewhat believable to think Philly could pull this out.  Ever since Michael Carter Williams returned the 6ers have shown signs of life.  The problem is they blew one of the worst defeats in NBA history Saturday Night.  They had a team as great as Memphis on the ropes, and not only give up 8 late threes, but a buzzer beater to go into overtime.  Don’t tell us there’s no lag from that loss.  Losing is perpetual and that takes the wind out of their sails against a Boston team that’s won 3 of 4 at Philly, and is also at the top of the NBA in scoring.  C’s win 117 – 100.

Lakers +5.5 @ Indiana:
It’s not easy to pick LAK this year, but Indiana has lost 8 straight.  There’s no question David West will be a handful for the Lakers.  But you’re looking at an Indiana team that isn’t playing for anything this season and knows it.  The Lakers seem to be inspired after Kobe’s teammate bashing speech the other day.  Despite his age, the Pacers have no answers for the offensive onslaught of Kobe Bryant.   Pacers steal this late, but not enough firepower to cover.  Pacers 102 – Lakers 99.

Orlando +7 @ Toronto/Over 197:

Nikola Vucevic is back and healthy to provide an easy 18 and 10 for the Magic.  That alone is a big factor into taking the +7.  Throw in the fact that Demar Derozan is still out and that Victor Oladipo is red hot, over the last two weeks and the value lies in Orlando.  The Magic have a shot to take this one, and without Derozan there’s chances for Orlando to exploit Toronto on the wings.  Terrence Ross and Kyle Lowry will undoubtedly get there’s, as usual.  At the end of the day, it’s too much Toronto, but in a high scoring affair.  Raptors 107 – Magic 104.

Bulls +3 @ Atlanta:

Even with Joakim Noah possibly not on the floor tonight we’re expecting another tough night for the hawks after blowing a close loss to the magic.  This could be the start of short losing streak for Atlanta, so pay attention to it.  If Noah doesn’t play, it may be even better for the Bulls.  Chicago has a tendency, similar to the Spurs, to play up a level when they sit their stars.  Jimmy Butler has been torching the nets lately.  Taj Gibson will pick up where Noah left off and you still have Derek Rose over Jeff Teague.  Horford and Milsap are a worry, but Pau Gasol balances that out.  In the end, you’re getting the better defensive team (not a bad offense either averaging 102 ppg) getting 3 points on the road.  Stat of the day: Chicago is 10 – 3 on the road this season.  In betting, that’s called VALUE.  The value pick is Chicago, the gut pick would be Atlanta, we’re playing it smart and going with the value.

San Antonio @ Portland Over 193.5:

This is a total trapdoor game and Vegas knows it.  The line is set perfectly at 8 points, because San Antonio is playing is 3rd game in 4 nights.  They just pulled out a low scoring (for them) win at Denver.  Meaning, who the hell knows who Gregg Popovich is going to throw on the floor tonight.  So, that 8 point line is completely useless, because we’ve seen Spurs reserves absolutely dominate, and we’ve seen them lay goose eggs.  Either way, both teams play fast, and Portland will absolutely shoot the lights out at home.  Never bet against the shooting of Lillard, Batum, and Wes Matthews.  If San Antonio plays poorly Portland will blast them and front run to the tune of 119 – 92.  If the Spurs play well we’re looking at a 102 – 101 game.  Either way, we’re not betting against two offensively powered teams.

Pistons +12.5 @ Clippers:

Betting on the Pistons is like jerking off on an airplane, it’s just not a wise choice.  Well, in this case, we’re saying go ahead and do it.  The Pistons are an emotional roller coaster each and every night, but there’s a couple things we know for sure.  Brandon Jennings hasn’t won in his hometown, ever, since he joined the NBA.  Jennings will be out to prove something, that’ll either be really great or really bad, if you know how B Jenn plays.  The other thing we know is Andre Drummond, Greg Monroe, and Josh Smith are one of the few front lines with athleticism to stop DeAndre Jordan and Blake Griffin in transition.  Detroit’s size will bother LAC in this one.  Lord help us if this becomes a DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond free throw contest.  Yikes!! Clippers pull away late 104 – 93.

Milwaukee +5.5 @ Phoenix:

Phoenix is coming off a back to back night game.  The Suns have been terrible in these scenarios all season.  They’ve failed to win the second night yet.  Milwaukee is young and athletic too.  They’ve got a plethora of scorers in Giannis, Brandon Knight, and Jabari Parker.  Phoenix blows this one outright.  Milwaukee 105 – Phoenix 98.

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