12/9 NCAAB

Villanova -5.5 vs. Illinois:

Illinois is vastly improved this year and should make a nice run to the NCAA tourney, but there’s too much working against the Illini in this one.  One the Illini go as Rayvonte Rice goes.  Villanova is one of the best defensive teams in basketball, and they know Rice is Illinois’ one trick pony.  Rice makes Illinois’ offense go, and Egwu should have an advantage inside.  Too much guard play from Ennis and Archidiaccono in this one.  The X-Factor is this game’s at the Garden.  This is home away from home for the Wildcats.  No Big Ten team is traveling to the Garden and beating a team of this caliber in their home court.  A close game throughout and ‘Nova pulls away late for a 73 – 60 win.

Baylor vs. Texas A & M Over 119.5:

Pretty simple here.  Baylor puts up almost 68 points, per game.  Texas A & M averages almost 73.  Even though, both teams play slower than we’d like there’s too much talent on the floor not to hit the over.  This game will be close, bettors are expecting a 5 – 6 point spread, that’s perfect for fouls down the stretch.  a 55 – 55 game with 4 minutes to play pushes over with some late fouls.  Final Score Baylor 65 – A & M 59.

Xavier vs. IUPUI Over 145.5:

Xavier just found their groove again against Alabama, after a couple mis-steps on the season.  Xavier can get points inside from Stainbrook, as well as an array of 3 point shooting from Myles Davis and Travon Blueitt.  Normally, we wouldn’t touch a game this highly priced, but coming off a 97 point performance against Alabama, what’s Xavier going to do to IUPUI at home??!!!  The Musketeers average 85 points, per game.  They go well over that in this one.  Final score Xavier 95 – IUPUI 60.

South Dakota +16.5 @ Creighton:

The Coyotes have had 4 days to prepare for this one and they won’t come out unprepared to play.  In 9 games this year the Coyotes have hung within 12 points, or better, against every team they’ve played, including a loss to Stanford.  Creighton is extremely tough at home, but we like the Coyotes to hang within the 16.5.  Creighton hasn’t bashed anybody since early November and a close win over Nebraska and a bad loss at Tulsa don’t impress.  Final score Creighton 76 – SDAK 62.

Alcorn State @ Iowa Under 141.5:

The old adage is it takes two teams to cover an over.  Granted, Alcorn State is scoring almost 70 points, per game so you can’t love that, but there are a couple great things about this game.  One, Iowa is a terrible 3 point shooting team.  The hawks will play fast and the will get layups in this one.  One thing you have to like is Iowa’s renewed sense of defense though.  Against lesser competition Hampton, North Dakota State, Northern Illinois, Pepperdine, Longwood, and UMBC (very similar to Alcorn State) Iowa gave up an average of 45 points per contest!  In their last 5 games they’re giving up an average of 56 points per contest.  You couple that with the fact that the Hawks are shooting 42% from the field, on the year and the under looks really solid.  Lock this in as the play of the night.  Hawks 80 – Alcorn 53.

Louisville vs. Indiana Over 141:

We actually lean toward Lousville -12 here, but feel the over is the safer play.  First of all, Indiana is toward the bottom of the country in points allowed, even though they are 3rd in the nation in points scored.  Don’t expect the Hoosiers to get easy buckets against Louisville.  We don’t bet on Yogi Ferrell putting up 18 against the length of Montrezl Harrell.  That being said Indiana only knows how to play fast and that leads right into the hands of easy buckets for Louisville.  This game will be crazy fast, with tough buckets to come by for Indiana.  The X-Factor is always hot shooting.  We feel Indiana makes just enough 3’s to hang around and push the over.  Final Score Louisville 80 – Indiana 65.

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