NCAAF 12/26

UNC -3 vs. Rutgers:

Neither team provides tons of comfort to pick.  The one thing we know about Rutgers is they’re inconsistent as hell!  One week you’ll get 40 points out of them, the next 17.  We also know their defense is probably even more lackluster, than their offense.  The only thing we know about UNC is, though their defense lacks (big time), their offense makes up for every bit of their terrible defense.  We expect the Tar Heels to make amends for their terrible outing against NC State, and finish on a high note.  Tar Heels win big 49 – 21.

UCF -2.5 vs. N.C. State:

You have to absolutely love this matchup, from a picker’s standpoint.  The Wolfpack have proven to be incredibly inconsistent on the offensive and defensive sides of the ball.  UCF has a defense that is 8th in the country in points allowed.  The Knights do a fantastic job of stopping the run, and their offense has picked it up, greatly in the second half of the season.  Sheer value in UCF this year, as the ACC was awful, and we get the team with the better defense.  When in doubt, ride the team with the better defense.  UCF 24 – N.C. State 13.

Louisiana Tech -6 vs. Illinois:

Complete toss up game here.  Normally we’d say ride the team with the points, but with how pathetic Illinois’ defense has been (all season) we just can’t pick the Illini.  If the MAC has shown us anything, it’s pathetic, it’s not a good sign for the Big Ten.  If you look at Big Ten teams this year, Northwestern, Iowa, Illinois, etc. they all struggled against MAC opponents. We knew the Big Ten was bad, and it will show itself (in spades) in the bowl season.  Louisiana Tech’s superior defense and desire to win this game will prove too much.  Skip Holtz’s team wins 37 – 26.

NBA 12/25

Spurs -5 vs. Thunder:

The Thunder struggle, mightily, to beat the Spurs when at full strength.  It usually takes mammoth performances from Westbrook and Durant to knock off San Antonio.  Granted, no Kawhi Leonard is a huge deal for the Spurs.  That being said, the Spurs have the deeper, more team oriented, roster.  Five points may seem like alot, but the value is in a more cohesive San Antonio team, at home.  The Thunder just aren’t the Thunder, without KD.

Washington vs. New York Over 194:

Everyone will jump on Washington in this one, which is a complete trap.  If you’ve followed the Knicks this season you know they suck, at winning games, but they’ve been pretty stellar at covering spreads.  Remember, this Carmelo-less squad covered just a few days ago, in Chicago!  It isn’t out of the realm of possibility for the Knicks to come ready to play today and cover, especially if Melo is in the lineup.  Christmas day always brings fantastic effort from both squads.  The Knicks have no answer for John Wall, and as of late, Tim Hardaway Jr. has been on fire.  The Knicks should get some timely shooting from Jose Calderon, as well.  Play the over, as you should get max effort from both teams today.

Clippers -1 vs. Golden State/Over 218:

A shootout in the Golden State, on Christmas Day, now that’s our idea of a Merry Christmas!  This is can’t miss basketball for any NBA fan.  Golden State is shooting the rock red hot right now.  The Warriors have covered the spread in 5 of these teams’ last 6 meetings.  Even so, we’re riding with the Clippers.  Golden State showed some fatigue, and chinks in the armor, in their last loss to the Lakers.  The Clippers need this one a little more, and we feel like the Warriors are due for their first losing streak of the season.  The under has a decent chance here, but with both teams amp’d up for a Christmas day game, we’ll take some hot shooting and high flying antics to cover.  Clippers 112 – Warriors 103.

Lakers +10.5 @ Chicago/Under 207.5:

This is a bit dangerous with how pathetic L.A.’s defense is and how hot Chicago’s shooting can be.  The reason we like the Lakers is they showed signs of life in a recent win over Golden State, we get Kobe Bryant on Christmas day, and as pumped as the Bulls will be they know they’re playing an inferior team.  It’s not always easy to show up against lesser competition, no matter what the day.  Chicago likes to defend, along with having a lockdown defense.  The over/under just seems too high here.  Final score, Bulls 104 – Lakers 101.

Cleveland -5.5 @ Miami:

Alot of the “wise guys” are riding the Heat here, especially coming off a disappointing loss to Philly.  There’s no doubt the Heat will throw the kitchen sink at Cleveland, but without Chris Bosh Miami will need alot more than just Dwyane Wade.  Too much K – Love, Lebron, and Kyrie.  Dion Waiters has been on fire lately.  Even a return trip to Miami can’t overcome the talent on the floor.  Cleveland wins running away 105 – 93.  Too little scoring on the Heat, to hang around in this one.