NBA 12/16

Thunder -8 @ Sacramento:

OKC is on an absolute tear since getting Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook back.  The Kings are in complete disarray.  Once Demarcus Cousins went out this team just absolutely fell apart.  The firing of their coach, along with Tyrone Corbin at the helm, can’t mean much.  Too much of a well oiled machine in OKC.  Not enough chemistry, or give a shit in Sacramento.  Thunder pull away 111 – 91.

Memphis -3 vs. Golden State:
It’s almost impossible to bet against the Warriors right now, right?  Wrong!  Yes, we’re looking at a 16 game winning streak team that just got stronger with Andrew Bogut coming back.  The Grindhouse is a hell of a tough place to win a game though.  Memphis will be out to prove something tonight as they’re only two games back of the Warriors.  The Warriors are probably more talented top to bottom, but timing is a big part of sports.  Wrong place and wrong time to play the Grizzlies.  Warriors fall 103 – 94.

Dallas -7 @ Knicks:
The Knicks play competitively at home, but there’s troubles in their locker room and they simply do not play defense.  That’s a bad combination against a Dallas team that has tons of team chemistry and absolutely lights up the scoreboard on every team in the NBA.  No chance we’re taking the Knicks here.  Dallas smokes NYK 110 – 92.

Jazz vs. Pelicans Under 197:

There’s inside presence on both teams to make scoring inside difficult.  The Pelicans are an all or nothing team, they’re either fantastic from the outside, or they absolutely suck.  We’re betting on them sucking tonight against an uninspiring Jazz squad.   Either way, Utah is nothing special on the offensive end.  If Derek Favors and Gordon Hayward are at all off then this is a lock, because the Jazz simply go as they go.  We can’t see Favors getting much against the likes of the Uni-Brow.  Final score Pelicans 97 – Jazz 95.

Brooklyn -7.5 vs. Miami:

Let’s be honest, Brooklyn has a bunch of gutless wonder Superstars just out for a payday, but in this case, you can’t bet against them.  Miami without Chris Bosh, and most likely without Dwyane Wade (flu)?  We’re talking no chance here for the Heat.  The only scorer on the floor will be Luol Deng.  If we get any effort from Brooklyn it’s a walkaway.  Brooklyn 95 – Heat 79.

T’Wolves +13 @ Washington/Over 203:

We’ve got two teams that can flat out score the rock.  It’s a little nerve wracking with how great the Wiz have been in transition, and how poor Minnesota’s defense is.  That being said, this line is just too high to see the value in Washington.  Either way, the points will be a solid take, because their should be a plethora of points scored, and pace played in this game.  Take both bets though, because theirs a great chance we’re looking at 111 – 101 Wizards type win.  Never hurts to double up in a night!

NCAAB 12/16

Oakland @ Arizona Over 143.5:

The only small concern in this game is Arizona’s size inside.  The Wildcats have tons of length and athleticism to bother Oakland’s scoring.  The positive is both teams love to run, and there’s simply no way Oakland can match up with the athleticism of Arizona in transition.  Translation: easy 3’s and dunks for Arizona.  Oakland popped in 61 against a better defensive Michigan State team, and has been averaging around 75ppg for the season.  Sparty tries to control pace and make games ugly.  That’s not the Arizona style.  Take the over in this one Arizona 92 – Oakland 65.

Alabama +13 @ Wichita State:
This is our lock of the night.  Wichita State is no doubt talented, but they aren’t as deep as seasons past.  You’re looking at a team that struggled with the likes of Seton Hall and Detroit the past two weeks.  Stat of the night:  Alabama has played Wichita 3 straight seasons.  The Tide have won, or covered 13 points in all 3 meetings. Anthony Grant teams are similar to Greg Marshall teams, they play disciplined, sound basketball.  The Tide’s only losses to Xavier and Iowa State were well played games that covered this exact spread.  We’ll take Bama’ to cover.  WSU wins 70 – 65.

VCU -13 vs. Belmont:

The numbers are kind of skewed in this one.  If you went off of previous numbers you’d say Belmont is the play here.  The Bruins have covered on the road in 6 of their last 7 games, while VCU is 0 – 5 against the spread in their last 5 home games.  The problem here is this isn’t the Belmont of old.  They’re down a couple players to injuries, and they really don’t have the scoring or defensive depth of past.  Belmont’s best win on the year is over 3 – 3 Ohio.  They’ve bashed Lipscombe twice.  VCU not only returns most of it’s core pieces from their perennial tourney runs, but they’ve played better competition all year.  The Rams have already seen Tennessee, Oregon, Villanova, UNI, Virginia, and a 7 – 1 Old Dominion squad.  We just feel VCU is deeper.  Belmont plays little defense.  At home, VCU’s frantic pace should push this game out of control.  VCU won by 13 at Belmont a year ago, against a better Belmont squad.  Rams win 87 – 70.

Marquette -3 vs. Arizona State:

The value probably lies in the sun devils, as the talent on the floor is very even for both sides.  Marquette’s proving they are getting better and better under Coach Wojo though.  The Golden Eagles hung with a very good Wisconsin squad last outing.  They also have wins over Georgia Tech and Tennessee.  They even have some good, close losses to Sparty and Ohio State.  That tough schedule and continue’d improvement, combined with the fact that ASU has to travel to Milwaukee, is why we’re going with Marquette.  Travel lag will be huge in this one.  Matt Carlino will light it up at the Bradley Center.  Golden Eagles win 65 – 54.

UNC Greensboro +22 vs. North Carolina:
This is the absolute perfect time to bet on a big spread against the tar heels.  Greensboro hasn’t lost a game by more than 10 this season, let alone 22.  This will also be their super bowl, being that it’s on their home floor.  They’d love nothing better than to knock off the Big Dog of the state.  UNC only goes as Marcus Paige goes, and even when he’s going, no one else is getting involved in the flow of the offense.  Not to mention UNC should have lag off of a tough loss to Kentucky.  Even better is this is a sandwich game where UNC will be looking ahead to their big matchup with Ohio State.  UNC wins 84 – 71.  Not even close to a cover though.

Oklahoma -16 vs. Oral Roberts:

There’s a few scary things about this.  One, it’s an instate game, so you know Oral Roberts will be giving it their all.  Two, Oklahoma may let down knowing how superiorly talented they are.  Three Oral Roberts is roasting the nets lately, to the tune of 80 + points over their last two contests.  That being said, Oklahoma is clicking on all cylinders.  You’re looking at a team that’s 9 players deep in pure scorers, and they like to get out and run.  The other issue is Oral Roberts is playing is 3rd game in 4 days.  At some point, fatigue has to play a factor.  Now the first half may be close, but we have to think the up and down of the Sooners wears out ORU into the second half.  Sooners run away late 85 – 64.