NBA 12/9

Toronto @ Cleveland Over 205.5/Cleveland -6:

So you’re thinking this is dangerous because both teams just played each other Friday and they both come off games last night.  Wrong!  Toronto and Cleveland hate each other.  This is fast turning into a, talented, heated, rivalry.  Both teams come off a low scoring output Friday and learn from mistakes in that contest.  This line hasn’t moved much, based on Friday’s game and we like that.  We think Vegas is scared the over might happen and they don’t want to push the line down too far.  We love that and the fact that Cleveland is scorching hot.  Toronto has to travel a long ways after playing a drag out battle the night before.  No Demar Derozan spells bad luck.  Cleveland wins 114 – 102.

Portland @ Detroit Over 197.5:

Portland can shoot the lights and they’ve proven that all season.  Detroit has the ability to score, when motivated.  Granted, Detroit is about as inconsistent as the day is long.  Their losing streak clearly show that.  That being said, we believe crappy teams show up to play when great teams come to town.  Detroit plays their tails off, but can’t pull out the win against a superiorly talented Portland squad.  Final score Portland 105 – Detroit 98.  This game goes over.

Memphis vs. Dallas Under 205:
Lock of the night.  No one controls pace better than Memphis in the grind house.  Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol will absolutely limit any easy scoring for Dallas.  Memphis’ offensive inconsistency is always an issue.  Their guards go cold at any moment.  Don’t expect Montae Ellis to be near the scorer with Tony Allen on him either.  Too many factors for Dallas to dominate the pace in this one.  Dallas may very well win, but we don’t think so.  Final score Memphis 103 – Dallas 98.

OKC vs. Milwaukee Under 201/Milwaukee +10:

A couple things lend toward the under here.  Milwaukee has issues putting up points as is.  OKC is finally healthy, so don’t expect easy buckets against Ibaka and Durant.  Milwaukee has been one of the best defensive teams in the league, so they should be able to hang with OKC for a half, at least.  Too much OKC in this one, but it doesn’t quite go over because of Milwaukee’s youth and inefficiency on offense.  Final score OKC 103 – Milwaukee 94.

Phoenix -4.5 vs. Miami/Under 203:
There’s no doubt Phoenix will get theirs on Miami.  The Suns can flat out stroke it and that’s why we like them -4.5.  Traveling home after a close loss to LAC shouldn’t be a hard transition.  The reason we like the under is there’s absolutely nothing to like about Miami.  Outside of Chris Bosh, what do they have to be remotely competitive?  Dwyane Wade is a shadow of his former “scoring” self.  Phoenix pulls away big and the under sneaks in here.  Final score Phoenix 107 – Miami 93.

Kings +3.5 @ Lakers:

On what planet could you pick the Lakers right now?  They try to play fast, but can’t do it efficiently.  Their defense is atrocious.  Their best player is 40 years old.  Demarcus Cousins, or no Demarcus Cousins there’s a sheer talent disparity here.  Darren Collison and Rudy Gay will have their way with the Lakers entire team.  The Kings believe they can win and are playing with a confidence we haven’t seen from them in years’ past.  Kings win easily 117 – 108.

Spurs @ Jazz Over 194:

A bit of a trap door game here being that Utah blew a pathetic performance against Sacramento last night.  That being said Utah is an extremely tough place to get up to play.  The Spurs are supremely talented, so calling the line on this one is suicide.  Despite playing last night, we love the Jazz to come ready to play.  Gordon Heyward leads the way with some easy buckets coming from Derek Favors, as well.  Spurs win, but 194 is too low.  Final score Spurs 105 – Jazz 100.  Ride the over in this one.

12/9 NCAAB

Villanova -5.5 vs. Illinois:

Illinois is vastly improved this year and should make a nice run to the NCAA tourney, but there’s too much working against the Illini in this one.  One the Illini go as Rayvonte Rice goes.  Villanova is one of the best defensive teams in basketball, and they know Rice is Illinois’ one trick pony.  Rice makes Illinois’ offense go, and Egwu should have an advantage inside.  Too much guard play from Ennis and Archidiaccono in this one.  The X-Factor is this game’s at the Garden.  This is home away from home for the Wildcats.  No Big Ten team is traveling to the Garden and beating a team of this caliber in their home court.  A close game throughout and ‘Nova pulls away late for a 73 – 60 win.

Baylor vs. Texas A & M Over 119.5:

Pretty simple here.  Baylor puts up almost 68 points, per game.  Texas A & M averages almost 73.  Even though, both teams play slower than we’d like there’s too much talent on the floor not to hit the over.  This game will be close, bettors are expecting a 5 – 6 point spread, that’s perfect for fouls down the stretch.  a 55 – 55 game with 4 minutes to play pushes over with some late fouls.  Final Score Baylor 65 – A & M 59.

Xavier vs. IUPUI Over 145.5:

Xavier just found their groove again against Alabama, after a couple mis-steps on the season.  Xavier can get points inside from Stainbrook, as well as an array of 3 point shooting from Myles Davis and Travon Blueitt.  Normally, we wouldn’t touch a game this highly priced, but coming off a 97 point performance against Alabama, what’s Xavier going to do to IUPUI at home??!!!  The Musketeers average 85 points, per game.  They go well over that in this one.  Final score Xavier 95 – IUPUI 60.

South Dakota +16.5 @ Creighton:

The Coyotes have had 4 days to prepare for this one and they won’t come out unprepared to play.  In 9 games this year the Coyotes have hung within 12 points, or better, against every team they’ve played, including a loss to Stanford.  Creighton is extremely tough at home, but we like the Coyotes to hang within the 16.5.  Creighton hasn’t bashed anybody since early November and a close win over Nebraska and a bad loss at Tulsa don’t impress.  Final score Creighton 76 – SDAK 62.

Alcorn State @ Iowa Under 141.5:

The old adage is it takes two teams to cover an over.  Granted, Alcorn State is scoring almost 70 points, per game so you can’t love that, but there are a couple great things about this game.  One, Iowa is a terrible 3 point shooting team.  The hawks will play fast and the will get layups in this one.  One thing you have to like is Iowa’s renewed sense of defense though.  Against lesser competition Hampton, North Dakota State, Northern Illinois, Pepperdine, Longwood, and UMBC (very similar to Alcorn State) Iowa gave up an average of 45 points per contest!  In their last 5 games they’re giving up an average of 56 points per contest.  You couple that with the fact that the Hawks are shooting 42% from the field, on the year and the under looks really solid.  Lock this in as the play of the night.  Hawks 80 – Alcorn 53.

Louisville vs. Indiana Over 141:

We actually lean toward Lousville -12 here, but feel the over is the safer play.  First of all, Indiana is toward the bottom of the country in points allowed, even though they are 3rd in the nation in points scored.  Don’t expect the Hoosiers to get easy buckets against Louisville.  We don’t bet on Yogi Ferrell putting up 18 against the length of Montrezl Harrell.  That being said Indiana only knows how to play fast and that leads right into the hands of easy buckets for Louisville.  This game will be crazy fast, with tough buckets to come by for Indiana.  The X-Factor is always hot shooting.  We feel Indiana makes just enough 3’s to hang around and push the over.  Final Score Louisville 80 – Indiana 65.