NBA 11/28

Dallas vs. Toronto Over 209:

We’ve got two of the best scoring teams in the league meeting after a couple day’s rest.  Expect an up and down, competitive, game.  Toronto finds a way, at home 115 – 110.  Take the over.  Stay away from the line, as it could go either way.

Clippers -3 @ Houston:

It’s the perfect storm.  Clippers are finally finding their form.  Dwight Howard is still out for Houston.  Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan will have their way inside.  Bet this game hard.  They don’t hand them to you any easier than this one!

Atlanta-2 vs. New Orleans Under 206:

Both teams play fast and Atlanta should get easy buckets inside.  We just don’t like New Orleans’ guard play.  They’re inconsistent from the perimeter and that’s the difference.  At home we like the combination of Milsap and Horford to dominate.  Jeff Teague will have his way with Jrue Holiday.  Hawks win 103 – 96.

Golden State -9 @ Charlotte:

Golden State is shooting out of their minds right now.  The Warriors have beaten their opponents by an AVERAGE of 16.5 points, over their last 6 games.  One of those was a 25 point blowout of Charlotte.  The Hornets are struggling to score.  Lance Stephenson has shown no signs of life this season.  This is a great line.  Warriors continue to dominate.

Orlando +5 @ Indiana:
This is another complete overreaction to the game that Indy gave San Antonio, the other night.  The Pacers still lack any team depth.  Even if David West is back, expect his first night out, in a year, to be a rusty one.  You could easily make the argument that Orlando is the more talented team.  Vucevic will continue to dominate Roy Hibbert on the glass.  The value lies in Orlando +5.  They very easily could win this game.

Denver (0) vs. Phoenix:

Phoenix is the more talented team, but it’s a case of revenge in this one.  With a couple days off, Denver remembers what Phoenix did to them, on the road, a couple nights ago.  In another high scoring game, Denver gets one back from Phoenix in a 111 – 104 victory.  Stay away from the over under in this one.  The lock is Denver for the victory.

Lakers -5.5 vs. T’Wolves/Under 215:

Let’s be honest, both teams suck.  The issue for the T’Wolves is youth and injuries.  Minnesota comes in with a banged up Ricky Rubio, no Kevin Martin, and no Nikola Pekovic.  Lakers roll at home in a big way.  Minnesota can’t make up all the points, without their best scorers.  Lakers win 115 – 93.

Sacramento +8.5 vs. Spurs/Over 193:

Two teams that play this fast, shoot this many threes, and have this much talent is just too hard not to be the over on.  The fact that Demarcus Cousins should eat, an old, Tim Duncan for lunch makes us like the +8.5 .  Spurs win a close one, but the Kings keep it close.  Final score Spurs 107 – 101.

NFL 11/30

Teaser of The Day Colts -3/Ravens +1:

Colt McCoy is starting at quarterback for the Skins, so what!  Washington’s defense is still awful.  Expect the Colts to score early and often.  Three points, at home, against the Skins, is the most guaranteed teaser you’ll find.  The Ravens are on fire right now, winning 7 of their last 10 and going 4 – 1 at home on the season.  The travel for San Diego will be an issue.  The even bigger issue is the Ravens are 6th in the league against the rush.  If Phillip Rivers has to be one dimensional, we’ll see sacks in this one.  Ravens win 27 – 21.

Arizona -1.5 @ Atlanta:

You can’t ever love having to start Drew Stanton at QB, but the value here is the defense.  Arizona is at the top of the league in almost every statistical category.  Matt Ryan is known to throw the ball to the other team.  Turnovers and Patrick Peterson locking down Julio Jones, are the difference.  A smarter, more efficient, Cardinals team, wins.  Arizona 22 – Atlanta 13.

Rams -7 vs. Oakland:

Oakland finally got their win!  Now get ready for the big letdown.  St. Louis knows they can play with anyone.  They’ve beaten some of the best the league has to offer.  The superior pass rush, and cross country travel, are huge issues.  Rams win big, 31 – 14.  Expect 5 sacks and at least 2 Derek Carr turnovers.  Oakland is not the same team on the road.

New England +3 @ Green Bay/Under59:

We may very well be looking at this year’s Super Bowl Preview.  Being that we’ve got two even teams this isn’t an easy game to pick.  The value lies in the Pats for a couple reasons.  One they’ve got the better defense.  Vince Wilfork leads one of the best run stopping defenses in the league.  Eddie Lacey will be limited in this game.  We don’t expect New England to run much better, either.  The reason New England takes this is their corner play.  Browner and Revis get physical with Nelson and Cobb.  The Pats steal a close one, on the road 27 – 24.

Kansas City +1.5 vs. Denver:

It’s the toughest place to play in football.  Kansas City’s coming off a tough loss at Oakland.  It all spells upset city.  Jamaal Charles and a rejuvenated Chiefs defense, cause too much havoc for an inconsistent Broncos team.  Broncos continue to have issues stopping the run, as KC pulls this one out 28 – 24.

Jets +7 vs. Fish:

This is the perfect trap door game.  Miami is coming off a game they had won at Denver.  They play a team with two wins on the season, in a cold environment, in New Jersey!!  Miami has to play their tails off to make the playoffs, but there’s so many lack of motivating factors in this one.  Home teams generally show up to play well on MNF, and the Jets are getting +7.  Add in that the Jets are top 5 in the league against the run, and there’s lots of reason to like NYJ this week.  Fish win, but close 21 – 18.

Bengals -3.5 @ Tampa Bay:

It’s a mismatch of more talented teams.  The Bengals are headed in the right direction, while the Bucs are falling apart.  Tampa Bay comes out sluggishly after knowing they should’ve beaten Chicago last week.  The Bengals are healthy at tailback, and defensively now.  Cincy rolls big in getting ready for a playoff push.  Bengals win 27 – 10.

Cleveland +3 @ Buffalo:

This is a trick game, because Buffalo’s defense is so fantastic.  The Bills will be in this game until the end.  Cleveland is almost as good defensively, but the reason we like Cleveland is quarterback play.  Kyle Orton is terrible, and Brian Hoyer has proven he’s a better playmaker.  Cleveland finds a way to win another close one 26 -24.  Either way, the value is in the team getting the points.

Houston vs. Tennessee Under 43.5:

The under is a lock here.  Both teams have to run the ball to be efficient on offense.  They simply don’t pass it well enough.  With Arian Foster back, Bill O’Brien knows he needs to feed his bell cow.  He also knows Ryan Fitzpatrick has to be managed, or he’ll turn the ball over.  Houston has a top 5 defense in the league.  It all spells the perfect storm for the under.  Take this one big time.  It’s one of our locks of the weekend.

Steelers -5 vs. Saints:

We’re done believing in the Saints.  New Orleans is awful on the road, and this season they’re awful at home.  At some point, you are who you are.  The Saints are awful on defense and inconsistent on offense.  Pittsburgh is a great team at home.  They also return 5, healthy, defensive starters, this week.  LeVeon Bell rolls over a weak New Orleans front.  Steelers pull out a high scoring affair 34 – 20.

NCAAF 11/29

Mississippi State -3 @ Ole Miss:

Easiest pick of the weekend, bankroll this bad boy.  We’ve got no LaQuan Treadwell for Ole Miss.  We’ve got Dak Prescott, who is vastly more consistent than Bo Wallace.  Miss. State owns the size advantage own both front lines.  We’ve got the more physical running back on the Bulldogs’ size.  Miss. State needs a convincing win to pop into the college football final 4.  Ole Miss’ only remote chance is that this is a rivalry game at home.  Love the Bulldogs here.  Miss. State blasts Ole Miss 37 – 20.

Minnesota +14 @ Wisconsin:

It’s not a lock here.  Playing at Camp Randall is a challenge, especially with the way Joel Stave has played lately.  Melvin Gordon could very well run all over the Gophers.  The one thing the Gophers do well is limit the run.  Minnesota has a stout run game in their own right.  Minnesota’s horrible pass game could be a problem, but at the end of the day we feel that the Gopher’s intensity in playing for a Big Ten Title birth, will keep this close.  Gophers backdoor cover this, with a late touchdown.  Wisconsin 33 – Minnesota 20.

Wake Forest +19.5 @ Duke:

Duke is injured and reeling after two disappointing losses, to finish their season.  The lack of depth and fact that they’re playing Wake Forest gives little motivation to the Dukies going into this one.  Duke wins, but we believe in Wake Forest hanging around in this one.  Duke wins 27 – 10 in an, ugly, turnover prone, football game.

Rice vs. LA Tech Over 50.5:

Both teams get out and go in the shotgun spread.  Rice hung 40 + on an Old Dominion team that just beat Louisiana Tech last week.  La Tech is scoring 35 + points per game.  Expect them to put up such a performance at home.  Rice is scoring almost 30 points per game.  This line would have been perfect around 57 – 58 points.  This line simply is too low for teams that play this fast.  Louisiana Tech 35 – Rice 21.  This game could get out of control and close to over by halftime.  A really nice pick here.

Kentucky +14 @ Louisville:

This is a perfect trap game for Louisville.  Kentucky’s talent has caught up to Louisville.  Louisville, and backup QB, Reggie Bonnafon are getting way too much hype after stealing a win, against a reeling Notre Dame squad.  Kentucky is hearing the underdog talk, going into a rivalry game.  Expect a low-scoring, dogfight.  The Wildcats force some turnovers in a close fight.  Louisville wins 17 – 14, in a great game.

Teaser #1 of the Day:  North Carolina +1/Northwestern -1

UNC is at full throttle right now.  The Tar Heels are averaging over 36 points per game, in their last 5 games.  In that timespan, UNC is 4 – 1 with wins over Virginia, Pittsburgh, Georgia Tech, and Duke.  Had we seen this UNC team earlier, who knows what their record might be.  NC State’s best wins are Syracuse and Wake Forest.  UNC drops the hammer in this one 52 – 21.

This game will be close, but we can’t get over the fact that Illinois hasn’t won a road game all season.  Northwestern is coming in with a convincing win at Purdue and a season saving win over Notre Dame.  Wildcats pull out a close one to go bowling.  At home, and with the better defense, we’ll take the Wildcats.

Temple vs. Cincinnati Under 57.5:

Temple brings a stifling defense to the table and an inconsistent offense.  Traveling to Philly, after a blowout win at Connecticut, should be a letdown game for Cincy.  Temple needs the win to be bowl eligible.  The old adage is it takes two teams to hit the over.  We can’t see Temple scoring 30 + to help make this over.  If Cincy plays one poor half, which we believe they will, the under hits easily.  Cincy takes this late, but to the tune of 30 – 17.  The under is a solid play here.  We just can’t buy Temple’s offense.

Utah State +9.5 @ Boise State:

No place has been tougher to play than the blue turf of Boise State.  The Broncos have not lost a game at home this season.  This ain’t your daddy’s Broncos though.  Boise State is not the defense of old.  The Broncos give up 28 points per game on defense.  They have 9 and 10 points wins, at home, over San Diego State and Fresno State.  This game could decide who goes to the Mountain West Championship game.  Utah State has a solid defense, only allowing 18 points, per game.  Utah State has a shot to win this one, outright, the value lies in the Aggies.  Aggies lose 28 – 20, but cover the 9.5 point spread.

Washington -3 @ Washington State:

Complete mismatch in this one. Despite the rivalry game, there’s too much talent on the Husky side.  This is both team’s super bowl, but the Huskies have proven they can play, even the best the Pac 12 competitively.  The X factor is an average defense in Washington, versus an atrocious defense in Washington State.  The Cougs allow, almost, 40 points per game and give up around 450 yards of total offense, per game.  Dawgs win a competitive Apple Cup 47 – 30 and springboard their team into an even better 2015 season.

Georgia Tech +13 @ Georgia:

Georgia Tech getting absolutely no respect here.  We’ve got a team that’s about to play for an ACC title and that puts up points, at will, on their opponents.  Georgia is one of the toughest environments in football to play, but without Todd Gurley this game will be interesting.  Nick Chubb will have his way, as usual, but expect Georgia to put up their share of points.  Dawgs pull this one out 41 – 30, but 13 points is just too many to give an offense like the Yellowjackets.

Baylor vs. Texas Tech Over 79:

Texas Tech is one of the worst defenses in the country in almost every statistical category.  Baylor is trying to grab every style point they can to place themselves in the College Football Final 4.  Both teams don’t slow down their pace.  Both teams chuck the rock, all day long, so when the ball isn’t being completed, the clock will keep stopping.  Remember, TCU, who gave up 60 + to Baylor, hung 86 on Texas Tech!  Final score Baylor 79 – Texas Tech 31.  This is an absolute lock.

Oregon State +21 vs. Oregon:

It’s tough betting against the Ducks’ offense, but the Civil War is an absolute battle.  Both teams know each other inside and out.  Oregon has always had trouble playing in Corvallis.  Beavers lose, but hang around in convincing fashion.  Ducks win, somewhere to the tune, of 41 – 23.

Teaser #2 of the Day: Alabama -2/Michigan State -6:

Auburn’s defense is awful.  Alabama’s run game asserts itself early and a couple early turnovers cost Auburn.  Bama wins 35 – 14.  Michigan State is a different class than Penn State.  PSU can hang around in this one due to a great defense, but their lackluster offense can’t hang with a superior Sparty.  Sparty pulls away late, in a hotly contested battle.  Sparty covers on a late touchdown 24 – 13.

Florida +7.5 @ Florida State:

Florida’s got the better defense and there’s no love loss in this one.  Florida State hasn’t hardly covered a line all season.  Treon Harris has the Gators offense moving.  The Gators have the better front 4 on defense and better corner play to match up.  Florida State finds it’s way to survive again, but we’re talking a late, late, steal.  Seminoles win on a last second touchdown 34 -31.

South Carolina +4.5 @ Clemson:

Clemson has the defense to stop South Carolina’s high powered run game, but the difference in this one is Quarterback play.  Cole Stoudt is terrible for the Tigers.  Clemson’s great front 4 keeps this close, which makes us love So Car getting 4.5.  South Carolina wins this sucker, outright, 24 – 20.  Turnovers are the difference, as Clemson turns the ball over 3 + times.

Teaser#3 of the Day Notre Dame +14/Under 70:

Both teams come into this game reeling.  Brian Kelly may have completely lost his team in last week’s loss, which is a definite issue.  USC has the slightly better defense, but at some point a lack of depth is going to catch up to the Trojans.  That 53 scholarship players costs USC in this one.  Notre Dame steals a tough road win 34 – 28.  Everett Gholston is the reason there’s so much value for the Irish here.

 

NCAAB 11/27

Kansas vs. Rhode Island/Over 128:

Rhode Island is a sneaky team, coming off a huge win over a highly touted Nebraska Cornhuskers squad this season.  Kansas won’t be overlooking the Rams at all, and we feel Rhode Island has enough quality players to hang around in this one.  Kansas has too many scorers in Selden, Ellis, Cliff Alexander, and Frank Mason III.  This one will be close until the last 5 minutes where free throws separate it late.  Kansas wins 72 – 63, the over is the safe play in this one.

Georgia Tech -4.5 vs. Marquette:

We’re probably picking against the value in this one considering Georgia Tech has had issues blowing teams away.  We can’t get over the lack of athleticism and size we’ve seen from Marquette though.  The Golden Eagles lost by 8 to Nebraska Omaha!  They barely squeaked by the New Jersey Institute of Technology!  Too much Marcus Georges Hunt in this one.  Georgia Tech 65 – Marquette 55.

UCLA vs. North Carolina -2/ Over 154:

Both teams never let off the gas pedal in this one.  UNC has too much size inside with Kennedy Meeks and Bryce Johnson.  Marcus Paige is not only the general on the floor of this game, but he’s the best player on the floor.  UNC -2 is the lock play.  The over 154 is a solid play, as well due, to the speed of this game and the fact that UCLA is terrible in transition defense.

Butler +5 vs. Oklahoma:

Bettors everywhere will make the huge mistake of following Oklahoma in this one due to athleticism.  UNC was CLEARLY the more athletic team and got burned by Butler already.  We’ve got a team getting no respect, that’s going to play hungrier.  Butler also brings a more disciplined brand of defense and rebounding.  Oklahoma should win on athleticism alone, but their lack of team defense and discipline leaves huge value in Butler here.  Take Butler +5.  Butler has a great chance to win.  Getting 5 points is a gift.

Long Beach State Over 143.5 vs. Western Michigan:

The Beach has as good of guard play as anyone in the country.  A close loss to BYU and a nice win over Kansas State prove this.  Western Michigan is no slouch either.  One thing we know about the Broncos is they can score points.  This game will come down to the wire, so free throws late should be huge.  Long Beach is scoring 74 + points per game, and Western Michigan is dropping almost 83 points per game.  The Over is the safe play in this one.

Indiana State +13.5 vs. Illinois:

Indiana State is middle of the road this season and Illinois does have a great scorer in Rayvonte Rice.  This is a gut pick, but Illinois hasn’t played, nor been challenged, by anyone this season.  At the end of the day, we feel Indiana State comes out to prove something, while Illinois shows up flat.  Illini win, but not by enough to cover.  Illinois wins 71 – 59.  Sycamores cover the +13.5.

NCAAF 11/28

Houston -22 @ SMU:

Not much has changed with the culture of the Houston Cougars.  They play as fast and furiously as ever.  They’ve got no love loss for the SMU Mustangs by any means.  SMU is on the verge of a winless season and the last thing they want to see is a high flying, run and gun, team come to town.  Houston blasts SMU 51 – 13.

Iowa (0) vs. Nebraska:

Nobody rallies from losses better than Kirk Ferentz.  It’s a case of two teams going in opposite directions here.  The Huskers have no confidence on defense, being absolutely gashed by the ground game the past two weeks.  Iowa, on the other hand, found their groove against Wisconsin and nearly pulled off the upset last week.  This is absolute, hardcore, lock of the century this weekend.  Take the Hawkeyes big.  The team with the better defense win.  Iowa 31 – Nebraska 17.

Virginia (0) vs. Virginia Tech:

It’s a battle of two teams trying to qualify for a bowl game, but it’s soooo much more than that!  Virginia has been the whipping post for Va Tech the past 20 + years.  The Cavs have even more reason to come ready to play, for just such an incentive.  Virginia has a deeper pass rush, and more opportunistic defense.  The separating factor is that, of the two bad offenses, Va Tech has not been able to protect the ball lately.  Expect two Tim Harris forced turnovers for the Cavs.  A tight game early, falls apart late.  Cavs win 28 – 14.

Tulsa +18 vs. East Carolina:

The last thing East Carolina wants to do is go play a road game in Tulsa, against a team with 2 wins!  This game just wreaks letdown.  Add in the fact that the Pirates have stopped playing consistent football, lately, and we’ll take Tulsa to cover the 18.  Tulsa loses, but they hang around in a 41 – 24 loss.

UCLA -5.5 vs. Stanford:

UCLA is probably the hottest team in the country, outside of Alabama.  UCLA’s got a deeper, more athletic, offense.  Their defense has been extremely opportunistic.  Stanford won’t be able to utilize any size advantage against the Bruins.  It’s a case of speed vs. power and there’s too much speed on the side of the Bruins.  Bruins win easily, 38 – 21.

Colorado State -7 vs. Air Force:

The Rams are the class of the Mountain West.  They lead the conference in almost every statistical category.  Air Force is simply facing a more athletic team, all the way around.  Colorado State has even more incentive in trying to finish 12 – 1 this season.  Air Force turns the ball over more than usual and can’t stop the CSU passing attack.  Colorado State wins 35 – 17.

UCF -12 vs. South Florida:

There’s never a love loss when two Florida schools meet.  UCF brings an elite defense to the field.  South Florida brings hardly any talent to the field.  At the end of the day, it’s impossible to take South Florida over ANYBODY.  UCF wins in a big way 35 – 6.

Navy -9.5 vs. South Alabama:

Navy is one of the most efficient offenses in the country.  The midshipmen average over 354 yards, per game, on the ground, and close to 34 points, per game.  South Alabama has been somewhat competitive, but they haven’t faced an offense this efficient yet.  Both teams play hard, fighting for a bowl bid, but we like the Midshipmen to cover going into the big match up with Army.  Navy covers, close, 41 – 28.

NFL Picks 11/27

Teaser of the Day: Seattle +8/Philly & Dallas Over 47.5:

This is really hard coming from a resident 49ers fan, but based on the recent evidence, it’s impossible to pick the 9ers.  San Francisco’s offensive woes are a huge issue.  They refuse to run the ball consistently, have gone away from Kaepernick’s bread and butter read option, and they don’t throw to one of the most athletic tight ends in football.  Combine that with the fact that their linebackers stop the run, but can’t defend in pass coverage and they’ve got issues.  Replacing Navorro Bowman and Patrick Willis is impossible to do, despite solid play from Chris Borland.  The value lies in the Seahawks bumped up at +8.

There’s not enough defense in Dallas or Philly to take an under.  Both teams play fast and furiously.  Dez Bryant is a matchup nightmare for Philly, and the ground game can easily establish itself against Philly.  Hell, if the Packers could run against Philly, Dallas certainly can.  Chip Kelly never let’s off the gas pedal.  Even if they fall behind by 30, they’ll still keep playing fast.  Philly loses 34 – 31.

San Francisco vs. Seattle Under 41:

San Francisco’s defense is coming of age right now.  The return of Aldon Smith and emergence of Aaron Lynch, has really brought their pass rush together.  Seattle has the more prolific offense, right now, but expect the 9ers to be able to limit Marshawn Lynch for 3 quarters.  San Francisco has proven they are one of the most inefficient offenses in the NFL.  Nobody kicks more field goals than the 9ers, and don’t expect the legion of boom to give up many touchdowns.  Lock city on this under.  Seattle pulls off the road upset 19 – 12.

Philly @ Dallas Over 54.5

A prime time game, in Dallas, on Thanksgiving, expect both teams to come out amped.  Neither team is great defensively, other than forcing turnovers.  Very often in the NFL, turnovers mean points on the board quickly.  Final score Dallas 34 – 31.  The over hits in the Jerry Jones Dome.

 

NCAAF 11/27

TCU -7 @ Texas:

It’s going to be a battle of defenses in this one.  Charlie Strong’s team is proving they are one of the best defenses in the country, while other than the Baylor game, TCU has been all season.  The difference in this game is a couple things.  One TCU has, historically, been a whipping post for Texas.  Gary Patterson will not let his team come out flat for this game.  Secondly, Trevone Boykin at Quarterback, vs. Swope for Texas.  Texas simply can’t pass the ball efficiently.  TCU is one of the most powerful offenses in the country.  This game stays close early and TCU drops the hammer in the second half.  A 17 – 7 game at half, turns into a 41 -14 TCU blowout.

LSU -3 @ Texas A & M:

This isn’t a lock, especially being at Kyle Field.  LSU has been up and down, while the Aggies have been ridiculously inconsistent.  We like LSU for a couple reasons.  One, the Aggies are awful against the run.  LSU has a huge size advantage up front and a consistent ground game.  LSU is also coming off a poor loss at Arkansas.  Don’t expect a Les Miles team to throw in the towel back to back weeks.  The deeper, more well coached, defense wins this one.  Tigers beat the Aggies 37 – 24.

NCAAB 11/26

Florida +1 vs. Georgetown:

Billy Donovan’s team has more athletic depth and talent.  We actually love that they’ve struggled lately.  The fact they have struggled a bit leads us to believe the Gators will come extremely prepared for the tournament.  Expect Michael Frazier to show up in a big way and for the Gator defense to dominate the boards and blocks.  Gators win 69 – 55.

Arizona -5 vs. San Diego State:

Sports betting history tends to repeat itself and the Wildcats have owned the Aztecs the past couple years.  The athleticism of Tarczewski and Brandon Ashley inside is simply too much of a limitation for San Diego State’s scoring.  Arizona wins by 1o + points.  Wildcats take the final score 75 – 62 in a mismatch of athleticism.

NBA 11/26

Philly +8 @ Brooklyn:

The 76ers are starting play better basketball, despite their atrocious record.  The 6ers have added incentive, trying to get their first win of the season.  A team that’s this bad simply won’t get that on the road.  It’s a perfect storm.  The Nets usually play down to their competition, and they are a lowly 2 – 7 on the road, of which they’ve only won by double digits one time.  Odds-wise there’s value in the 6ers getting points.

Philly vs. Brooklyn Under 198.5:

The 76ers average a, lowly, 89 points per game.  It’s hard to picture Brooklyn being up for this game on the road.  Philly doesn’t snap their skid yet, but we’ll take Brooklyn in a close, ugly, game.  Final score Brooklyn 95 – Philly 90.

Dallas -13 vs. Knicks:

Dallas is a scoring machine, especially at home.  New York is a one man show in Carmelo Anthony.  The Knicks can’t protect the rim at all and Tyson Chandler well mans the paint to keep easy buckets away from the Knicks.  Expect a fast-paced up and down game.  Dallas is simply a better coached team, that knows it’s identity.  Dallas takes a 10 point half time lead and cruises to a 110 – 88 victory at home.

Milwaukee @ Minnesota Under 205:

This is our lock of the night.  Milwaukee is 12th in the league in points against.  They’ve got rim protectors in Larry Sanders & Giannias.  The T’Wolves like to play fast, but are sloppy with turnovers in transition.  The fact that Kevin Martin and Nikola Pekovic are out is everything in this matchup.  Add on that Milwaukee played at Detroit last night, too much points toward the under.  Take the under, it’s a lock.

Washington +7 @ Cleveland:

The Cavs are in disarray and it shows.  Defensively they’re one of the worst teams in the league.  A couple factors are pushing bettors toward Cleveland.  One is the embarrassing loss Washington put to them last week.  The other is the back to back nights and travel for Washington, coming from Atlanta.  This game is about competitiveness and respect though.  The last team in the world Washington is going to back down from is Cleveland.  The Wizards have huge advantages in John Wall and Bradley Beal at guard.  Their size inside can, at least hang with Cleveland.  The Cavs take this one, but not enough to cover.  Final score Cleveland 105 – Washington 100.

Orlando +9.5 vs. Golden State:

It’s the perfect spot for a letdown for the Warriors.  Golden State’s playing back to back nights against a poor team, after a nice win at Miami.  Orlando has made a living off putting up buckets and covering spreads this season.  Orlando comes out ready to play and that’s the difference in this one.  While Golden State has looked great early we’ll take Orlando to hang around in this one.  Golden State comes back from a terrible start, 103 – 99 Warriors.

Portland vs. Charlotte Over 193:

Portland brings their scoring with them everywhere they go.  Lillard, Aldridge, Matthews, and Batum provide some of the best shooting the league has to offer.  At home you’re getting value in a more prepared and better shooting Charlotte team.  This line is completely off.  Expect Al Jefferson and Kemba Walker to find a groove on their own home court.  Charlotte gets back and track in this one but we’ll take the over.  Final score Charlotte 105 – Portland 99.

Nuggets +8 @ Phoenix/Over 215:

Denver is starting to figure it out, winning 5 straight games.  The Suns slow down for no one and the Nuggets have learned they’re best only when they run.  We feel like last night’s game is getting overrated.  Rule of thumb, when Vegas offers these extremely high lines, they usually go over.  We’ll take the over and the hot handed nuggets to cover.  Nuggets lose a close one 112 – 109.

Kings +5 @ Houston/Over 193:

Dwight Howard’s absence is and will completely change Houston’s defense.  Without a rim protector DeMarcus Cousins continues his tear on the NBA.  The Kings get too many easy buckets inside.  The Rockets’ only chance is if James Harden and Ariza get red hot.  Either way, we love the Kings +5 and they most likely pull off the win.  At home the Rockets shoot well enough to hit the over.  Kings 111 – Rockets 103.

Teaser of the Night Memphis -2/Kings & Rockets Over 188:

Memphis has the best defense in the league.  They absolutely dominate on the boards.  The majority of their team has been together close 5 plus years.  They have a million times more chemistry than this horrid Lakers team.  The -2 is a lock and see above explanation for the Rockets’ over.